Dillian Whyte vs Dereck Chisora Betting: Back a Stoppage Win

PredictionOddsBookmaker
Fight Not To Go The Distance11/10Bet365
Whyte To Win in Rounds 7-1210/3Ladbrokes

Eddie Hearn could probably make a good go of flogging a dead horse but even his very accomplished boxing salesmanship will be put to the test this week as he asks the British public to pay a box office fee for Dillian Whyte vs Derek Chisora II.

The two heavyweights may have had a barnstormer of a fight two years ago but the rematch has lost much of its appeal, not least for Whyte, for whom this is surely a step back having spectacularly knocked out Joseph Parker in his last fight – something Anthony Joshua couldn’t manage.

It’s also a risk for Whyte as if he does lose – and odds of 11/4 (Paddy Power) on a Chisora win gives the underdog a decent chance – he is unlikely to be the as yet unnamed opponent on Joshua’s April 13 bill at Wembley Stadium in 2019.

Quite why anyone would fork out a box office fee for two second rate heavyweights instead of the IBF featherweight title clash between Josh Warrington and Carl Frampton on the same night is beyond me.

Indeed, veteran promotor Frank Warren unleashed a scathing attack on Hearn in the build-up to fight night, claiming no winners will emerge from Matchroom’s decision to go toe-to-toe with their rival promotors.

“It's stupid. No one wins, it's impossible for anyone to be a winner out of this,” said Warren.

“I'm using hypothetical numbers, (but) if there are half-a-million fans who want to watch it, 250,000 watch one, 250,000 watch the other, they're not going to be able to afford both.

“Then we've both lost 250,000 punters. It's stupid, senseless, if they were running on that date, I'd have never run on that date. We are not the cause of this.

“It's disrespectful to the fans. That's what it is. If you had any feeling about the sport you wouldn't do stuff like this, it's senseless.”

Betting Value on Whyte v Chisora

I know which fight I’ll be watching but for the purposes of a bet, let’s dissect where the value lies at the O2 Arena in London, assuming Warren vs Hearn doesn’t replace Chisora vs Whyte as the main event!

Chisora is one durable guy but at 34 he has perhaps had one too many tough fights to dig out another.

If we take his last 10 fights in isolation, he’s suffered three defeats – all narrow losses on the scorecards – but has seven stoppage wins to his credit.

Technically, Whyte is the better boxer. He’s also younger, fresher and has the added incentive of a Wembley Stadium shaped carrot dangling in front of him.

Chisora could be forgiven for not trusting the judges, so he’ll surely be trying to put Chisora away this time having troubled him with his overhand right in the first fight.

Going for broke may leave him vulnerable, though, so it’s difficult to see this one lasting the distance again. Bet365 offer a good price of 11/10 on this fight not hearing the final bell.

Both fighters to be knocked down is a good value special bet at 11/2, but for the more serious punter take Paddy Power’s 6/4 on Chisora to taste the canvas at least once.

This fight is destined to explode into life in the second half of the 12 rounds, with either fighter to win in round 7-12 generously priced at 9/4 with Ladbrokes.

I believe Whyte’s quality will shine through against the determined but limited Chisora, whose body will have regressed a little in the two years since their last fight.

Take Whyte to earn a stoppage win in rounds 7-12 at 10/3 with Ladbrokes.