Deontay Wilder vs Tyson Fury: Don’t Waste a Wager on Wilder

PredictionOddsBookmaker
Fury to win6/4Paddy Power
Fury to win on points5/2Bet365
Fury by Unanimous Decision10/3Bet365

Deontay Wilder will be presented with by far the biggest challenge of his career when he touches gloves with Tyson Fury this weekend.

The American is the fight favourite among the best bookmakers, with Bet365 and Ladbrokes both offering 4/7 on the WBC champion retaining his belt.

Fury – in just his third fight back in the ring following a two-and-a-half-year lay-off for various reasons – is available at a best price of 6/4 with Paddy Power, and that price should be snapped up.

Why Bet on Tyson Fury?

It’s not so much a case of why you should back Fury, rather a case of why Wilder is not worth your money.

At the risk of looking extremely daft, I’m just going to throw this out there – Deontay Wilder is not a good boxer.

He is an unorthodox fighter, and not in a good way. Wilder brawls like a street fighter, planting his feet on the canvas before wind-milling huge bombs.

If he catches you with one of those flailing arms, you know about it – a 98% knockout ratio is testament to that – but in boxing precision tends to beat power, and there’s few active fighters more precise than Fury.

Fury’s jab, head movement and ring generalship are so superior to Wilder’s that the American is actually at risk of being made a fool of in what is by far the biggest fight of his career.

Wilder Will Lose the Jab Exchange

In heavyweight boxing, the jab is so important – it’s the weapon that ensured Wladimir Klitschko was unbeaten in over 11 years before meeting Fury. And here’s the thing; Wilder can’t actually jab.

Fury may be available at a best price of 6/4 with Paddy Power to beat Wilder, but his method of victory is most likely going to be on points, which is available at 5/2 with the same bookmaker, but for extra value look to Bet365 who offer 10/3 on the Brit winning via Unanimous Decision.

Fury has all the skills to get in and out, jab and move, while simultaneously evading Wilder’s erratic power shots.

Granted, there are a lot of question marks still hanging over Fury as he is yet to endure a real test since returning earlier this year, but Wilder’s aura remains dubious in comparison to a man who brought down the Wladimir Klitschko era.

Wilder’s pure power has taken him very far and has made him America’s first heavyweight star in too long – but reality will hit him on Saturday night when he gets outboxed, outthought and outlaboured by Tyson Fury.

What Next For The Wilder-Fury Winner?

Bookmakers are already taking bets on the winner of this fight taking on Joshua in 2019.

Only Anthony Joshua can power punch as hard as Wilder, but Joshua would steamroll through the American inside three rounds – mark my words – because he possesses far more than just power, Wilder’s only real attribute.

Quite rightly, Fury is given a better chance against AJ than Wilder, should they fight next year, with 5/4 widely available.

To back Wilder to beat Joshua in 2019 you’re looking at around 7/4 with Ladbrokes, but you’d be better off avoiding those prices as the gulf in class is much greater than those odds suggest.