Anthony Joshua vs Jarrell Miller Early Betting Preview

PredictionOddsBookmaker
Joshua to win in Rounds 1-36/1BetHard

In an era blessed with giants, the three pugilistic tenors, Joshua, Wilder and Fury, a trio of comparable but distinctive range, it is lamentable that the heavyweight opera, the greatest show of them all, has again turned to the circus, to the curio of Jarrell Miller, in order to fill the house.

Crowds will doubtless still leave entertained on June 2, sated, by the fare the 320-pound bruiser will provide. For many, particularly those not yet initiated to the potential greatness that lays within the three champions, the thrill of the venue, the sight of their clean-cut hero, Anthony Joshua, will be sufficient.

Miller has been selected, like a double stack burger from the menu at Bonnie’s Grill, to face Anthony Joshua, recognised as champion by the IBF, WBA and WBO, to help introduce America to England’s favourite son. The pair will answer the bell on June 1st at the historic Madison Square Garden, one of boxing’s grandest stages.

Investing in the outcome of a fight like this is best done from a longer view, for the promotional muscle at Joshua’s elbow will generate sufficient interest, even in those of us prepared for the effort they will put forth, to sway opinion and cloud consideration. And the higher rollers drawn to heavyweight title fights will invest heavily as the fight grows closer and shorten the markets.

Bookmakers are already serving a buffet of opportunities for those ahead of the pack.

The challenger Jarrell Miller has three qualifying qualities that helped him snare the supporting actor gig. All of which will prove essentially meaningless in relation to his prospects in the fight.

Of greatest significance was his nationality, an American opponent was essential for Joshua’s US debut, secondly, he is enormous, and therefore recognisable and distinct, and lastly, the pickles and mustard if you will, Miller is a talker. A provocative one.

Jarrell Lacks Pedigree

By the time June 1 arrives his Brooklynite charisma and street talk will have been quoted, circulated and converted into memes the world over. This despite the simplest analysis revealing a fighter without a world level victory, an absence of one-punch knockout power, which belies his gargantuan heft, and an inferior technique.

He has neither the pedigree or the skill for the part he must perform. But it will be fun to watch him try.

One thing that has become clear in the opening act of the promotion, is the strategy Miller will adopt in order to improve his chances in the fight. He intends to disturb the sanguine world Joshua inhabits.

Questioning the popular champion’s much reported back story, the strength of his opposition and in doing so encourage the unbeaten Brit to forsake natural advantages of height, reach and technical ability to embroil himself in a close quarters slug fest.

In short, the 30-year-old Miller would prefer this fight be on the sidewalk outside, or in the parking lot. There, his chances would be improved, in a battle of strength, will and stamina, with action taking place on the inside, a shift in his prospects could occur.

If Joshua preserves space to perform, clutches tightly the doctrine his trainer Robert McCracken will impart but not the man in front of him; if he jabs, if he double jabs, employs his superior tools, uses the uppercut, if he keeps his head while others are losing theirs then this will be an easy victory. The world titles will still be his.

Joshua has undoubtedly matured in to the crown of heavyweight champion, a conclusion confirmed by his assured performance versus the then WBO Champion Joseph Parker, but he remains vulnerable to his own emotion and machismo.

Joshua’s Instincts

There is a natural fighter in Joshua, one keen to impose dominance, to break down the challenger with power and aggression. In fights with Dillian Whyte, and to a lesser extent, Carlos Takam, he allowed himself to become disorganised by this desire to ‘have a fight’ to prove his superiority in the most brutal terms.

Most recently, in the victory over Alexander Povetkin he was also tagged hard, despite the Russian’s advancing years and slowing hands.

The 29-year-old champion is in his physical prime, but there remains layers of polish and control to add to his style if he is to moderate the risk presented by challengers, even those as modestly gifted as Miller.

Within the conflict Joshua feels, between the pragmatism of strategy and the heat of his own blood when the punches are flying, Miller has a small window of opportunity. One his surprising stamina, busyness and strength offers him hope of snatching. Miller is available at 11/2 for the outright win with Paddy Power.

It is for this reason he has sought to push all of Joshua’s buttons; slighting his name, character, record, family. Anything in search of Joshua’s trigger. And if Joshua can’t resist, if he climbs the three steps to the ring intent on punishing Miller for the insults, he may find himself trying to win Miller’s type of fight.

Sadly, for Miller, a brash and noisy braggart who has talked himself into a career high purse in his own back yard, the truth is Joshua would likely win the street fight the challenger so craves too.

Back Joshua to confirm Miller’s street act has no place in the high theatre of a heavyweight title fight and knock the New Yorker out early.

Perhaps resisting BetHard’s generous 20/1 on Round 1, but capitalising on their 6/1 on Rounds 1-3 and a simpler, lower risk, 1/2 on Joshua to win by KO, TKO or Disqualification.